Policy Option Matrix
Compare explicit policy options across separate dimensions without selecting an action.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Pareto trade-off comparisonCandidates
Use transparent evidence, explicit constraints and reproducible calculations to examine civilian policy. This pathway changes the questions and tool selection; it does not change the mathematics or grant decision authority.
Six relevant policy questions
Fiscal Promise Coverage
Compare fiscal promises against a declared budget using separate fiscal and budget methods.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Declared fiscal lifecycle ledgerService Delivery Feasibility
Calculate a civilian service feasibility ceiling from declared stage capacities and demand.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Serial service bottleneckCross-Sector Spillover Register
Register declared cross-sector consequences using a partial dependency worksheet; no empirical multiplier is inferred.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Implementation Dependency ScheduleLong-Horizon Maintenance Burden
Record long-horizon maintenance costs with explicit time and price-basis assumptions.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Declared fiscal lifecycle ledgerPromise Measurability Scorecard
Review measurable promise definitions and evaluation gaps using a partial program-design checklist.
Shared calculator exercise.
Try Program Evaluation ReadinessPrepare a reviewable policy brief
State the question, affected civilian service, geography and period. Separate dated observations from assumptions. Identify the current baseline and a structured non-AI alternative. Record resources, lawful authority, burdens, fallback and the evidence that would change the decision.
Report unknown costs as unknown. Preserve conflicting claims with their original sources. Obtain the relevant human review before using a calculation to support a public decision. Campaign and candidate research is limited to public policy analysis, not voter profiling or personalized persuasion.
Prepare an executive briefExamine the original MAR assumptionsRelevant calculation engines
Serial service bottleneck
What is the theoretical service ceiling of this serial chain for one common period?
Unit: matching service units per declared period. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodDeclared fiscal lifecycle ledger
What is the undiscounted and discounted fiscal footprint of the supplied cost ledger?
Unit: minor currency units. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodBudget envelope and restricted balances
Which declared accounts have remaining funds or a funding gap after commitments and proposals?
Unit: minor currency units. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodPareto trade-off comparison
Which complete alternatives are no worse on every declared dimension and strictly better on at least one?
Unit: separate declared dimensions. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodImplementation Dependency Schedule
What prerequisite order and earliest finish follow from the supplied schedule, and which declared requirements are unresolved?
Unit: days. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodProgram Evaluation Readiness
Which evaluation-design records are documented, and what descriptive differences can these supplied observations support?
Unit: people. Validation: computational unit tests; no empirical calibration.
Open calculator & methodSources and review practice
- NIST: AI Risk Management Framework — Voluntary governance background; not validation of MAR. Reviewed 2026-11-09. Reference, not endorsement or validation.
- U.S. GAO: Cost Estimating and Assessment Guide — Published 12 March 2020. Estimation and sensitivity guidance; no endorsement of this implementation. Reviewed 2026-11-09. Reference, not endorsement or validation.
- UNDRR: Sendai Framework monitoring — Country-reported indicators have coverage limits; no causal program effect is inferred. Reviewed 2026-11-09. Reference, not endorsement or validation.
Does this pathway recommend a political party or candidate?
No. The same inputs and methods produce the same results for every user. No endorsement, voter profile or election prediction is generated.
What if the evidence is incomplete?
Keep missing values unknown, disclose the gap and use the result only within its stated scope. A planned module is not an operational prediction.