{
  "scenarioFamily": "MAR-HTP",
  "version": "1.0.0",
  "registry": [
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-001",
      "name": "Civilian protection and prevention proposal",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "planned",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-009",
        "CORE-016",
        "CORE-024"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "osce2016",
        "osce2023",
        "italy"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Pilot participation and support protocols require human and institutional approval."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-002",
      "name": "Postal documentation research",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "partial",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/research/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-002",
        "CORE-005",
        "CORE-006"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "upu",
        "albaniaCustoms"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Research on document completeness and provenance. A parcel-screening implementation is outside the public exercise."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-CI-001",
      "name": "Mutual AI Supervisory Coordinator",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "implemented",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/architecture/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-010",
        "CORE-014",
        "CORE-017"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "osce2023",
        "eu"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Local exercise simulates approved aggregate handoffs, withdrawal and retraction."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "scenario"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-003",
      "name": "Financial linkage evidence review",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "partial",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/financial-chain/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-005",
        "CORE-006"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "doj",
        "upu"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Readers can inspect the evidence gaps and tests. Joint financial linkage remains unknown."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-004",
      "name": "Pilot budget and workload",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "implemented",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/pilot-budget/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-003",
        "CORE-004",
        "CORE-007",
        "CORE-019",
        "CORE-025"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Estimates use synthetic costs and aggregate workload."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "scenario"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-005",
      "name": "Human review and correction costs",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "implemented",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/simulator/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-011",
        "CORE-017",
        "CORE-019",
        "CORE-025"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "italy"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Comparison covers fictional aggregate support and documentation."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "scenario"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-006",
      "name": "Authority, continuity and oversight",
      "stage": "fictional tabletop",
      "status": "implemented",
      "version": "1.0.0",
      "url": "/mar-htp/governance/",
      "sectorTags": [
        "human trafficking prevention",
        "financial integrity",
        "international customs",
        "MAR coordination",
        "postal data",
        "human oversight",
        "civilian protection",
        "worked example"
      ],
      "countries": [
        "IT",
        "AL"
      ],
      "associatedCoreMethods": [
        "CORE-010",
        "CORE-014",
        "CORE-015",
        "CORE-018"
      ],
      "sourceIds": [
        "eu",
        "greta"
      ],
      "legalDependencies": [
        "National mandate",
        "Human authorization",
        "Purpose and data-protection review"
      ],
      "limitations": [
        "Gates represent recorded exercise decisions."
      ],
      "lastReviewedAt": "2026-11-13",
      "evidenceClass": "scenario"
    }
  ],
  "hypotheses": [
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-HYP-001",
      "claim": "A shared summary might make support handoffs more complete.",
      "test": "Compare acknowledged and completed support handoffs over equal periods. The hypothesis weakens if handoffs are slower or requests still go unserved.",
      "source": "osce2023",
      "status": "untested_hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-HYP-002",
      "claim": "A coordinator might reduce duplicate paperwork.",
      "test": "Give both workflows the same fictional documents. Count duplicate work and correction time. If review takes as long or longer, the proposed benefit loses support.",
      "source": "osce2016",
      "status": "untested_hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-HYP-003",
      "claim": "Human review might catch errors in a draft summary.",
      "test": "Use independently graded fictional summaries. Count missing information, incorrect corrections, and unresolved errors before and after review.",
      "source": "italy",
      "status": "untested_hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-HYP-004",
      "claim": "Independent procedures might preserve support during an outage.",
      "test": "Remove the shared channel in a controlled exercise. Record which local services stay available and how long they can run. A critical function that fails weakens the claim.",
      "source": "greta",
      "status": "untested_hypothesis"
    },
    {
      "id": "MAR-HTP-HYP-005",
      "claim": "Authority and consent might determine when cooperation is feasible.",
      "test": "Track time spent waiting for lawful approval separately from review and processing time. If authorization accounts for little of the delay, examine other limits.",
      "source": "eu",
      "status": "untested_hypothesis"
    }
  ],
  "sources": [
    {
      "id": "osce2016",
      "publisher": "OSCE Presence in Albania",
      "published": "2016-03-03",
      "geography": "Italy and Albania",
      "claim": "Italy’s embassy, Albanian authorities and the OSCE launched a child-protection project with Italian development funding.",
      "url": "https://albania.osce.org/albania/225581",
      "limitations": "The announcement establishes a past project and its aims. Evidence of outcomes from that project would require an evaluation."
    },
    {
      "id": "osce2023",
      "publisher": "OSCE Presence in Albania",
      "published": "2023-06-29",
      "geography": "Albania",
      "claim": "Albanian public institutions and civil society signed a revised national referral agreement on 26 June 2023. The agreement includes a victim advisory board.",
      "url": "https://albania.osce.org/presence-in-albania/547577",
      "limitations": "The agreement documents Albania’s national arrangements. Bilateral data access would require separate authority."
    },
    {
      "id": "italy",
      "publisher": "Italy’s Department for Equal Opportunities",
      "published": null,
      "geography": "Italy",
      "claim": "Italy publishes national referral guidance for victims of trafficking and severe exploitation.",
      "url": "https://www.pariopportunita.gov.it/it/politiche-e-attivita/tratta-degli-esseri-umani-e-grave-sfruttamento/meccanismo-nazionale-di-referral/",
      "limitations": "Use this guidance to understand institutional roles. Verify the mandate for any new activity separately."
    },
    {
      "id": "eu",
      "publisher": "European Union",
      "published": "2024-06-24",
      "geography": "European Union",
      "claim": "Directive (EU) 2024/1712 amends EU anti-trafficking rules and addresses specialist support and referral mechanisms.",
      "url": "https://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=OJ%3AL_202401712",
      "limitations": "The directive concerns EU Member States. Albania’s requirements and bilateral permissions need their own review."
    },
    {
      "id": "greta",
      "publisher": "Council of Europe GRETA",
      "published": null,
      "geography": "Albania",
      "claim": "GRETA’s fourth review describes progress and remaining gaps in victim protection, assistance, and access to justice.",
      "url": "https://www.coe.int/en/web/anti-human-trafficking/-/greta-publishes-its-fourth-report-on-albania",
      "limitations": "The review evaluates public policy and services. It supplies no evidence for a parcel or financial allegation."
    },
    {
      "id": "upu",
      "publisher": "Universal Postal Union",
      "published": null,
      "geography": "International",
      "claim": "UPU describes postal identifiers and electronic declarations. A declaration records a stated description of goods.",
      "url": "https://www.upu.int/en/postal-solutions/technical-solutions/products/ead-customs-declarations-app",
      "limitations": "An identifier or declaration leaves physical contents unverified."
    },
    {
      "id": "albaniaCustoms",
      "publisher": "Albanian Customs",
      "published": null,
      "geography": "Albania",
      "claim": "Albanian Customs publishes guidance on postal consignments and declarations.",
      "url": "https://dogana.gov.al/english/c/168/226/online-shopping",
      "limitations": "Check current requirements with the competent authorities. The guide supplies no case or shipment records."
    },
    {
      "id": "doj",
      "publisher": "U.S. Department of Justice",
      "published": "2024-09-17",
      "geography": "United States",
      "claim": "The Department of Justice reported a federal sentence in a U.S. case involving fraud against precious metals buyers.",
      "url": "https://www.justice.gov/usao-edtx/pr/jefferson-county-man-sentenced-federal-prison-defrauding-precious-metals-buyers",
      "limitations": "This separate case establishes no connection to Italy, Albania, the commentary below, or trafficking finance."
    }
  ]
}